Which Fibonacci retracement levels (0%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%, 100%) of the prior RTH session's range does the current session touch? And which Fibonacci zone does the session open in? Levels are anchored by the prior candle's direction.
| Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fibonacci level touched | Touch 0% (anchor extreme) | 55.899% | 0.600% | 4,331 | +55.30 pts |
| Fibonacci level touched | Touch 23.6% | 61.372% | 0.670% | 4,331 | +60.70 pts |
| Fibonacci level touched | Touch 38.2% | 58.162% | 0.554% | 4,331 | +57.61 pts |
| Fibonacci level touched | Touch 50% | 54.283% | 0.600% | 4,331 | +53.68 pts |
| Fibonacci level touched | Touch 61.8% | 49.319% | 0.531% | 4,331 | +48.79 pts |
| Fibonacci level touched | Touch 78.6% | 42.230% | 0.554% | 4,331 | +41.68 pts |
| Fibonacci level touched | Touch 100% (far extreme) | 31.909% | 0.531% | 4,331 | +31.38 pts |
| Opening Fibonacci zone | Below 0% (beyond anchor) | 28.885% | 49.758% | 4,331 | -20.87 pts |
| Opening Fibonacci zone | 0%–23.6% | 21.912% | 0.092% | 4,331 | +21.82 pts |
| Opening Fibonacci zone | 23.6%–38.2% | 12.214% | 0.092% | 4,331 | +12.12 pts |
| Opening Fibonacci zone | 38.2%–50% | 7.827% | 0.092% | 4,331 | +7.73 pts |
| Opening Fibonacci zone | 50%–61.8% | 6.557% | 0.069% | 4,331 | +6.49 pts |
| Opening Fibonacci zone | 61.8%–78.6% | 8.058% | 0.162% | 4,331 | +7.90 pts |
| Opening Fibonacci zone | 78.6%–100% | 6.419% | 0.115% | 4,331 | +6.30 pts |
| Opening Fibonacci zone | Above 100% (beyond far extreme) | 8.127% | 49.619% | 4,331 | -41.49 pts |
Probabilities are observed frequencies over the selected period. The baseline is the same outcome's unconditional rate; edge is probability − baseline, in percentage points.
| Group | Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 0% (anchor extreme) | 53.922% | 0.858% | 816 | +53.06 pts |
| Monday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 23.6% | 58.333% | 1.103% | 816 | +57.23 pts |
| Monday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 38.2% | 55.637% | 0.858% | 816 | +54.78 pts |
| Monday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 50% | 49.632% | 0.735% | 816 | +48.90 pts |
| Monday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 61.8% | 43.750% | 0.858% | 816 | +42.89 pts |
| Monday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 78.6% | 38.480% | 0.490% | 816 | +37.99 pts |
| Monday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 100% (far extreme) | 30.147% | 0.735% | 816 | +29.41 pts |
| Monday | Opening Fibonacci zone | Below 0% (beyond anchor) | 30.392% | 47.917% | 816 | -17.52 pts |
| Monday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 0%–23.6% | 20.343% | 0.368% | 816 | +19.98 pts |
| Monday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 23.6%–38.2% | 13.971% | 0.368% | 816 | +13.60 pts |
| Monday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 38.2%–50% | 7.108% | 0.000% | 816 | +7.11 pts |
| Monday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 50%–61.8% | 5.882% | 0.000% | 816 | +5.88 pts |
| Monday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 61.8%–78.6% | 7.475% | 0.000% | 816 | +7.48 pts |
| Monday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 78.6%–100% | 5.760% | 0.123% | 816 | +5.64 pts |
| Monday | Opening Fibonacci zone | Above 100% (beyond far extreme) | 9.069% | 51.225% | 816 | -42.16 pts |
| Tuesday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 0% (anchor extreme) | 55.804% | 0.670% | 896 | +55.13 pts |
| Tuesday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 23.6% | 61.496% | 0.893% | 896 | +60.60 pts |
| Tuesday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 38.2% | 58.482% | 0.558% | 896 | +57.92 pts |
| Tuesday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 50% | 55.022% | 0.335% | 896 | +54.69 pts |
| Tuesday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 61.8% | 50.558% | 0.223% | 896 | +50.33 pts |
| Tuesday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 78.6% | 43.080% | 0.112% | 896 | +42.97 pts |
| Tuesday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 100% (far extreme) | 31.585% | 0.112% | 896 | +31.47 pts |
| Tuesday | Opening Fibonacci zone | Below 0% (beyond anchor) | 30.134% | 46.094% | 896 | -15.96 pts |
| Tuesday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 0%–23.6% | 21.875% | 0.446% | 896 | +21.43 pts |
| Tuesday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 23.6%–38.2% | 11.496% | 0.223% | 896 | +11.27 pts |
| Tuesday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 38.2%–50% | 8.929% | 0.000% | 896 | +8.93 pts |
| Tuesday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 50%–61.8% | 4.799% | 0.000% | 896 | +4.80 pts |
| Tuesday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 61.8%–78.6% | 8.482% | 0.000% | 896 | +8.48 pts |
| Tuesday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 78.6%–100% | 7.143% | 0.000% | 896 | +7.14 pts |
| Tuesday | Opening Fibonacci zone | Above 100% (beyond far extreme) | 7.143% | 53.237% | 896 | -46.09 pts |
| Wednesday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 0% (anchor extreme) | 57.079% | 0.449% | 890 | +56.63 pts |
| Wednesday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 23.6% | 64.045% | 0.562% | 890 | +63.48 pts |
| Wednesday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 38.2% | 60.562% | 0.337% | 890 | +60.22 pts |
| Wednesday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 50% | 57.865% | 0.337% | 890 | +57.53 pts |
| Wednesday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 61.8% | 52.584% | 0.337% | 890 | +52.25 pts |
| Wednesday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 78.6% | 46.629% | 0.225% | 890 | +46.40 pts |
| Wednesday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 100% (far extreme) | 34.382% | 0.112% | 890 | +34.27 pts |
| Wednesday | Opening Fibonacci zone | Below 0% (beyond anchor) | 25.169% | 50.000% | 890 | -24.83 pts |
| Wednesday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 0%–23.6% | 22.135% | 0.225% | 890 | +21.91 pts |
| Wednesday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 23.6%–38.2% | 13.596% | 0.112% | 890 | +13.48 pts |
| Wednesday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 38.2%–50% | 8.539% | 0.000% | 890 | +8.54 pts |
| Wednesday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 50%–61.8% | 6.854% | 0.000% | 890 | +6.85 pts |
| Wednesday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 61.8%–78.6% | 8.090% | 0.000% | 890 | +8.09 pts |
| Wednesday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 78.6%–100% | 6.629% | 0.112% | 890 | +6.52 pts |
| Wednesday | Opening Fibonacci zone | Above 100% (beyond far extreme) | 8.989% | 49.551% | 890 | -40.56 pts |
| Thursday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 0% (anchor extreme) | 58.124% | 0.343% | 874 | +57.78 pts |
| Thursday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 23.6% | 61.899% | 0.458% | 874 | +61.44 pts |
| Thursday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 38.2% | 58.696% | 0.343% | 874 | +58.35 pts |
| Thursday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 50% | 55.263% | 0.229% | 874 | +55.03 pts |
| Thursday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 61.8% | 51.030% | 0.229% | 874 | +50.80 pts |
| Thursday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 78.6% | 42.449% | 0.000% | 874 | +42.45 pts |
| Thursday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 100% (far extreme) | 31.465% | 0.343% | 874 | +31.12 pts |
| Thursday | Opening Fibonacci zone | Below 0% (beyond anchor) | 30.092% | 50.343% | 874 | -20.25 pts |
| Thursday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 0%–23.6% | 21.968% | 0.114% | 874 | +21.85 pts |
| Thursday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 23.6%–38.2% | 11.327% | 0.114% | 874 | +11.21 pts |
| Thursday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 38.2%–50% | 6.865% | 0.000% | 874 | +6.86 pts |
| Thursday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 50%–61.8% | 8.124% | 0.000% | 874 | +8.12 pts |
| Thursday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 61.8%–78.6% | 8.238% | 0.000% | 874 | +8.24 pts |
| Thursday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 78.6%–100% | 5.950% | 0.229% | 874 | +5.72 pts |
| Thursday | Opening Fibonacci zone | Above 100% (beyond far extreme) | 7.437% | 49.199% | 874 | -41.76 pts |
| Friday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 0% (anchor extreme) | 54.386% | 0.468% | 855 | +53.92 pts |
| Friday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 23.6% | 60.819% | 0.468% | 855 | +60.35 pts |
| Friday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 38.2% | 57.193% | 0.585% | 855 | +56.61 pts |
| Friday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 50% | 53.216% | 0.351% | 855 | +52.87 pts |
| Friday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 61.8% | 48.187% | 0.468% | 855 | +47.72 pts |
| Friday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 78.6% | 40.117% | 0.819% | 855 | +39.30 pts |
| Friday | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 100% (far extreme) | 31.813% | 0.936% | 855 | +30.88 pts |
| Friday | Opening Fibonacci zone | Below 0% (beyond anchor) | 28.772% | 50.643% | 855 | -21.87 pts |
| Friday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 0%–23.6% | 23.158% | 0.117% | 855 | +23.04 pts |
| Friday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 23.6%–38.2% | 10.760% | 0.234% | 855 | +10.53 pts |
| Friday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 38.2%–50% | 7.602% | 0.000% | 855 | +7.60 pts |
| Friday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 50%–61.8% | 7.135% | 0.117% | 855 | +7.02 pts |
| Friday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 61.8%–78.6% | 7.953% | 0.117% | 855 | +7.84 pts |
| Friday | Opening Fibonacci zone | 78.6%–100% | 6.550% | 0.117% | 855 | +6.43 pts |
| Friday | Opening Fibonacci zone | Above 100% (beyond far extreme) | 8.070% | 48.655% | 855 | -40.58 pts |
| Group | Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 0% (anchor extreme) | 59.463% | 0.629% | 2,383 | +58.83 pts |
| Green | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 23.6% | 62.484% | 0.671% | 2,383 | +61.81 pts |
| Green | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 38.2% | 57.868% | 0.671% | 2,383 | +57.20 pts |
| Green | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 50% | 51.867% | 0.587% | 2,383 | +51.28 pts |
| Green | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 61.8% | 45.195% | 0.629% | 2,383 | +44.57 pts |
| Green | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 78.6% | 38.271% | 0.587% | 2,383 | +37.68 pts |
| Green | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 100% (far extreme) | 29.710% | 0.587% | 2,383 | +29.12 pts |
| Green | Opening Fibonacci zone | Below 0% (beyond anchor) | 34.536% | 50.063% | 2,383 | -15.53 pts |
| Green | Opening Fibonacci zone | 0%–23.6% | 23.877% | 0.126% | 2,383 | +23.75 pts |
| Green | Opening Fibonacci zone | 23.6%–38.2% | 12.295% | 0.084% | 2,383 | +12.21 pts |
| Green | Opening Fibonacci zone | 38.2%–50% | 6.798% | 0.042% | 2,383 | +6.76 pts |
| Green | Opening Fibonacci zone | 50%–61.8% | 5.245% | 0.000% | 2,383 | +5.25 pts |
| Green | Opening Fibonacci zone | 61.8%–78.6% | 5.959% | 0.084% | 2,383 | +5.87 pts |
| Green | Opening Fibonacci zone | 78.6%–100% | 4.574% | 0.000% | 2,383 | +4.57 pts |
| Green | Opening Fibonacci zone | Above 100% (beyond far extreme) | 6.714% | 49.601% | 2,383 | -42.89 pts |
| Red | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 0% (anchor extreme) | 51.540% | 0.770% | 1,948 | +50.77 pts |
| Red | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 23.6% | 60.010% | 0.667% | 1,948 | +59.34 pts |
| Red | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 38.2% | 58.522% | 0.719% | 1,948 | +57.80 pts |
| Red | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 50% | 57.238% | 0.616% | 1,948 | +56.62 pts |
| Red | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 61.8% | 54.363% | 0.565% | 1,948 | +53.80 pts |
| Red | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 78.6% | 47.074% | 0.667% | 1,948 | +46.41 pts |
| Red | Fibonacci level touched | Touch 100% (far extreme) | 34.600% | 0.616% | 1,948 | +33.98 pts |
| Red | Opening Fibonacci zone | Below 0% (beyond anchor) | 21.971% | 48.563% | 1,948 | -26.59 pts |
| Red | Opening Fibonacci zone | 0%–23.6% | 19.507% | 0.103% | 1,948 | +19.40 pts |
| Red | Opening Fibonacci zone | 23.6%–38.2% | 12.115% | 0.051% | 1,948 | +12.06 pts |
| Red | Opening Fibonacci zone | 38.2%–50% | 9.086% | 0.154% | 1,948 | +8.93 pts |
| Red | Opening Fibonacci zone | 50%–61.8% | 8.162% | 0.051% | 1,948 | +8.11 pts |
| Red | Opening Fibonacci zone | 61.8%–78.6% | 10.626% | 0.103% | 1,948 | +10.52 pts |
| Red | Opening Fibonacci zone | 78.6%–100% | 8.676% | 0.205% | 1,948 | +8.47 pts |
| Red | Opening Fibonacci zone | Above 100% (beyond far extreme) | 9.856% | 50.770% | 1,948 | -40.91 pts |