Instrument
Stat
Green & Red Streaks
Once a period is green (or red), how likely is the streak to continue for one more period of the same color?
Timeframe
Once a period is green (or red), how likely is the streak to continue for one more period of the same color?
Streak continues vs Streak breaks
Streak continues vs Streak breaks
Probabilities are observed frequencies over the selected period. The baseline is the same outcome's unconditional rate; edge is probability − baseline, in percentage points.
| Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green period | Streak continues | 55.496% | 49.860% | 2,420 | +5.64 pts |
| Green period | Streak breaks | 44.504% | 50.140% | 2,420 | -5.64 pts |
| Red period | Streak continues | 43.613% | 51.005% | 1,910 | -7.39 pts |
| Red period | Streak breaks | 56.387% | 48.995% | 1,910 | +7.39 pts |