After the initial balance forms, WHEN does price first break above its high or below its low? Reported as the share of sessions breaking early vs late around a configurable threshold, plus the full first-breakout-time histogram.
| Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breakout timing | First breakout before the threshold | 97.077% | 32.274% | 4,310 | +64.80 pts |
| Breakout timing | First breakout at or after the threshold | 2.923% | 67.726% | 4,310 | -64.80 pts |
| Breakout-time bucket | 09:30–10:00 | 0.000% | 0.000% | 4,310 | +0.00 pts |
| Breakout-time bucket | 10:00–10:30 | 82.761% | 7.355% | 4,310 | +75.41 pts |
| Breakout-time bucket | 10:30–11:00 | 9.234% | 8.770% | 4,310 | +0.46 pts |
| Breakout-time bucket | 11:00–11:30 | 3.759% | 8.005% | 4,310 | -4.25 pts |
| Breakout-time bucket | 11:30–12:00 | 1.323% | 8.144% | 4,310 | -6.82 pts |
| Breakout-time bucket | 12:00–12:30 | 0.719% | 7.587% | 4,310 | -6.87 pts |
| Breakout-time bucket | 12:30–13:00 | 0.510% | 9.188% | 4,310 | -8.68 pts |
| Breakout-time bucket | 13:00–13:30 | 0.348% | 7.981% | 4,310 | -7.63 pts |
| Breakout-time bucket | 13:30–14:00 | 0.348% | 7.541% | 4,310 | -7.19 pts |
| Breakout-time bucket | 14:00–14:30 | 0.278% | 6.798% | 4,310 | -6.52 pts |
| Breakout-time bucket | 14:30–15:00 | 0.302% | 8.863% | 4,310 | -8.56 pts |
| Breakout-time bucket | 15:00–15:30 | 0.139% | 7.726% | 4,310 | -7.59 pts |
| Breakout-time bucket | 15:30–16:00 | 0.209% | 7.587% | 4,310 | -7.38 pts |
| Breakout-time bucket | 16:00–16:15 | 0.070% | 4.455% | 4,310 | -4.39 pts |
Probabilities are observed frequencies over the selected period. The baseline is the same outcome's unconditional rate; edge is probability − baseline, in percentage points.
| Group | Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | Breakout timing | First breakout before the threshold | 96.539% | 31.520% | 809 | +65.02 pts |
| Monday | Breakout timing | First breakout at or after the threshold | 3.461% | 68.480% | 809 | -65.02 pts |
| Monday | Breakout-time bucket | 09:30–10:00 | 0.000% | 0.000% | 809 | +0.00 pts |
| Monday | Breakout-time bucket | 10:00–10:30 | 82.077% | 6.057% | 809 | +76.02 pts |
| Monday | Breakout-time bucket | 10:30–11:00 | 7.787% | 10.383% | 809 | -2.60 pts |
| Monday | Breakout-time bucket | 11:00–11:30 | 4.944% | 7.169% | 809 | -2.22 pts |
| Monday | Breakout-time bucket | 11:30–12:00 | 1.731% | 7.911% | 809 | -6.18 pts |
| Monday | Breakout-time bucket | 12:00–12:30 | 0.742% | 5.933% | 809 | -5.19 pts |
| Monday | Breakout-time bucket | 12:30–13:00 | 0.124% | 9.394% | 809 | -9.27 pts |
| Monday | Breakout-time bucket | 13:00–13:30 | 0.494% | 8.529% | 809 | -8.03 pts |
| Monday | Breakout-time bucket | 13:30–14:00 | 0.494% | 7.293% | 809 | -6.80 pts |
| Monday | Breakout-time bucket | 14:00–14:30 | 0.618% | 7.169% | 809 | -6.55 pts |
| Monday | Breakout-time bucket | 14:30–15:00 | 0.371% | 10.383% | 809 | -10.01 pts |
| Monday | Breakout-time bucket | 15:00–15:30 | 0.371% | 7.911% | 809 | -7.54 pts |
| Monday | Breakout-time bucket | 15:30–16:00 | 0.247% | 8.035% | 809 | -7.79 pts |
| Monday | Breakout-time bucket | 16:00–16:15 | 0.000% | 3.832% | 809 | -3.83 pts |
| Tuesday | Breakout timing | First breakout before the threshold | 96.417% | 32.363% | 893 | +64.05 pts |
| Tuesday | Breakout timing | First breakout at or after the threshold | 3.583% | 67.637% | 893 | -64.05 pts |
| Tuesday | Breakout-time bucket | 09:30–10:00 | 0.000% | 0.000% | 893 | +0.00 pts |
| Tuesday | Breakout-time bucket | 10:00–10:30 | 82.643% | 6.719% | 893 | +75.92 pts |
| Tuesday | Breakout-time bucket | 10:30–11:00 | 9.183% | 10.750% | 893 | -1.57 pts |
| Tuesday | Breakout-time bucket | 11:00–11:30 | 2.912% | 6.943% | 893 | -4.03 pts |
| Tuesday | Breakout-time bucket | 11:30–12:00 | 1.680% | 7.951% | 893 | -6.27 pts |
| Tuesday | Breakout-time bucket | 12:00–12:30 | 0.784% | 5.375% | 893 | -4.59 pts |
| Tuesday | Breakout-time bucket | 12:30–13:00 | 0.784% | 9.071% | 893 | -8.29 pts |
| Tuesday | Breakout-time bucket | 13:00–13:30 | 0.448% | 8.287% | 893 | -7.84 pts |
| Tuesday | Breakout-time bucket | 13:30–14:00 | 0.336% | 7.055% | 893 | -6.72 pts |
| Tuesday | Breakout-time bucket | 14:00–14:30 | 0.224% | 7.503% | 893 | -7.28 pts |
| Tuesday | Breakout-time bucket | 14:30–15:00 | 0.560% | 9.966% | 893 | -9.41 pts |
| Tuesday | Breakout-time bucket | 15:00–15:30 | 0.112% | 8.399% | 893 | -8.29 pts |
| Tuesday | Breakout-time bucket | 15:30–16:00 | 0.336% | 7.951% | 893 | -7.61 pts |
| Tuesday | Breakout-time bucket | 16:00–16:15 | 0.000% | 4.031% | 893 | -4.03 pts |
| Wednesday | Breakout timing | First breakout before the threshold | 97.185% | 32.658% | 888 | +64.53 pts |
| Wednesday | Breakout timing | First breakout at or after the threshold | 2.815% | 67.342% | 888 | -64.53 pts |
| Wednesday | Breakout-time bucket | 09:30–10:00 | 0.000% | 0.000% | 888 | +0.00 pts |
| Wednesday | Breakout-time bucket | 10:00–10:30 | 83.896% | 6.869% | 888 | +77.03 pts |
| Wednesday | Breakout-time bucket | 10:30–11:00 | 8.446% | 10.698% | 888 | -2.25 pts |
| Wednesday | Breakout-time bucket | 11:00–11:30 | 3.604% | 7.095% | 888 | -3.49 pts |
| Wednesday | Breakout-time bucket | 11:30–12:00 | 1.239% | 7.995% | 888 | -6.76 pts |
| Wednesday | Breakout-time bucket | 12:00–12:30 | 0.450% | 5.405% | 888 | -4.95 pts |
| Wednesday | Breakout-time bucket | 12:30–13:00 | 0.788% | 9.009% | 888 | -8.22 pts |
| Wednesday | Breakout-time bucket | 13:00–13:30 | 0.338% | 8.221% | 888 | -7.88 pts |
| Wednesday | Breakout-time bucket | 13:30–14:00 | 0.450% | 6.982% | 888 | -6.53 pts |
| Wednesday | Breakout-time bucket | 14:00–14:30 | 0.338% | 7.320% | 888 | -6.98 pts |
| Wednesday | Breakout-time bucket | 14:30–15:00 | 0.225% | 9.910% | 888 | -9.68 pts |
| Wednesday | Breakout-time bucket | 15:00–15:30 | 0.113% | 8.559% | 888 | -8.45 pts |
| Wednesday | Breakout-time bucket | 15:30–16:00 | 0.113% | 7.995% | 888 | -7.88 pts |
| Wednesday | Breakout-time bucket | 16:00–16:15 | 0.000% | 3.941% | 888 | -3.94 pts |
| Thursday | Breakout timing | First breakout before the threshold | 97.931% | 32.529% | 870 | +65.40 pts |
| Thursday | Breakout timing | First breakout at or after the threshold | 2.069% | 67.471% | 870 | -65.40 pts |
| Thursday | Breakout-time bucket | 09:30–10:00 | 0.000% | 0.000% | 870 | +0.00 pts |
| Thursday | Breakout-time bucket | 10:00–10:30 | 84.253% | 6.782% | 870 | +77.47 pts |
| Thursday | Breakout-time bucket | 10:30–11:00 | 10.000% | 10.575% | 870 | -0.57 pts |
| Thursday | Breakout-time bucket | 11:00–11:30 | 2.874% | 7.126% | 870 | -4.25 pts |
| Thursday | Breakout-time bucket | 11:30–12:00 | 0.805% | 8.046% | 870 | -7.24 pts |
| Thursday | Breakout-time bucket | 12:00–12:30 | 1.034% | 5.517% | 870 | -4.48 pts |
| Thursday | Breakout-time bucket | 12:30–13:00 | 0.115% | 9.195% | 870 | -9.08 pts |
| Thursday | Breakout-time bucket | 13:00–13:30 | 0.115% | 8.046% | 870 | -7.93 pts |
| Thursday | Breakout-time bucket | 13:30–14:00 | 0.345% | 6.897% | 870 | -6.55 pts |
| Thursday | Breakout-time bucket | 14:00–14:30 | 0.115% | 7.471% | 870 | -7.36 pts |
| Thursday | Breakout-time bucket | 14:30–15:00 | 0.115% | 9.655% | 870 | -9.54 pts |
| Thursday | Breakout-time bucket | 15:00–15:30 | 0.000% | 8.506% | 870 | -8.51 pts |
| Thursday | Breakout-time bucket | 15:30–16:00 | 0.000% | 8.161% | 870 | -8.16 pts |
| Thursday | Breakout-time bucket | 16:00–16:15 | 0.230% | 4.023% | 870 | -3.79 pts |
| Friday | Breakout timing | First breakout before the threshold | 97.294% | 32.353% | 850 | +64.94 pts |
| Friday | Breakout timing | First breakout at or after the threshold | 2.706% | 67.647% | 850 | -64.94 pts |
| Friday | Breakout-time bucket | 09:30–10:00 | 0.000% | 0.000% | 850 | +0.00 pts |
| Friday | Breakout-time bucket | 10:00–10:30 | 80.824% | 6.706% | 850 | +74.12 pts |
| Friday | Breakout-time bucket | 10:30–11:00 | 10.706% | 10.588% | 850 | +0.12 pts |
| Friday | Breakout-time bucket | 11:00–11:30 | 4.588% | 7.059% | 850 | -2.47 pts |
| Friday | Breakout-time bucket | 11:30–12:00 | 1.176% | 8.000% | 850 | -6.82 pts |
| Friday | Breakout-time bucket | 12:00–12:30 | 0.588% | 5.647% | 850 | -5.06 pts |
| Friday | Breakout-time bucket | 12:30–13:00 | 0.706% | 9.059% | 850 | -8.35 pts |
| Friday | Breakout-time bucket | 13:00–13:30 | 0.353% | 8.235% | 850 | -7.88 pts |
| Friday | Breakout-time bucket | 13:30–14:00 | 0.118% | 7.176% | 850 | -7.06 pts |
| Friday | Breakout-time bucket | 14:00–14:30 | 0.118% | 7.412% | 850 | -7.29 pts |
| Friday | Breakout-time bucket | 14:30–15:00 | 0.235% | 9.882% | 850 | -9.65 pts |
| Friday | Breakout-time bucket | 15:00–15:30 | 0.118% | 8.118% | 850 | -8.00 pts |
| Friday | Breakout-time bucket | 15:30–16:00 | 0.353% | 8.235% | 850 | -7.88 pts |
| Friday | Breakout-time bucket | 16:00–16:15 | 0.118% | 3.882% | 850 | -3.76 pts |
| Group | Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green | Breakout timing | First breakout before the threshold | 97.054% | 32.365% | 2,376 | +64.69 pts |
| Green | Breakout timing | First breakout at or after the threshold | 2.946% | 67.635% | 2,376 | -64.69 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 09:30–10:00 | 0.000% | 0.000% | 2,376 | +0.00 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 10:00–10:30 | 82.323% | 7.323% | 2,376 | +75.00 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 10:30–11:00 | 9.217% | 9.217% | 2,376 | +0.00 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 11:00–11:30 | 3.872% | 7.155% | 2,376 | -3.28 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 11:30–12:00 | 1.641% | 8.670% | 2,376 | -7.03 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 12:00–12:30 | 0.884% | 7.071% | 2,376 | -6.19 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 12:30–13:00 | 0.379% | 9.133% | 2,376 | -8.75 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 13:00–13:30 | 0.337% | 8.165% | 2,376 | -7.83 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 13:30–14:00 | 0.379% | 7.365% | 2,376 | -6.99 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 14:00–14:30 | 0.337% | 7.323% | 2,376 | -6.99 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 14:30–15:00 | 0.379% | 8.796% | 2,376 | -8.42 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 15:00–15:30 | 0.042% | 8.039% | 2,376 | -8.00 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 15:30–16:00 | 0.126% | 7.702% | 2,376 | -7.58 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 16:00–16:15 | 0.084% | 4.040% | 2,376 | -3.96 pts |
| Red | Breakout timing | First breakout before the threshold | 97.104% | 32.782% | 1,934 | +64.32 pts |
| Red | Breakout timing | First breakout at or after the threshold | 2.896% | 67.218% | 1,934 | -64.32 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 09:30–10:00 | 0.000% | 0.000% | 1,934 | +0.00 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 10:00–10:30 | 83.299% | 7.497% | 1,934 | +75.80 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 10:30–11:00 | 9.255% | 9.566% | 1,934 | -0.31 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 11:00–11:30 | 3.619% | 7.135% | 1,934 | -3.52 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 11:30–12:00 | 0.931% | 8.583% | 1,934 | -7.65 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 12:00–12:30 | 0.517% | 6.618% | 1,934 | -6.10 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 12:30–13:00 | 0.672% | 9.049% | 1,934 | -8.38 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 13:00–13:30 | 0.362% | 8.428% | 1,934 | -8.07 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 13:30–14:00 | 0.310% | 7.601% | 1,934 | -7.29 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 14:00–14:30 | 0.207% | 6.929% | 1,934 | -6.72 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 14:30–15:00 | 0.207% | 8.842% | 1,934 | -8.63 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 15:00–15:30 | 0.259% | 7.963% | 1,934 | -7.70 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 15:30–16:00 | 0.310% | 7.859% | 1,934 | -7.55 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 16:00–16:15 | 0.052% | 3.930% | 1,934 | -3.88 pts |
| Group | Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green | Breakout timing | First breakout before the threshold | 97.173% | 32.321% | 2,370 | +64.85 pts |
| Green | Breakout timing | First breakout at or after the threshold | 2.827% | 67.679% | 2,370 | -64.85 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 09:30–10:00 | 0.000% | 0.000% | 2,370 | +0.00 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 10:00–10:30 | 82.152% | 7.342% | 2,370 | +74.81 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 10:30–11:00 | 9.494% | 9.156% | 2,370 | +0.34 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 11:00–11:30 | 4.177% | 7.173% | 2,370 | -3.00 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 11:30–12:00 | 1.350% | 8.650% | 2,370 | -7.30 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 12:00–12:30 | 0.549% | 7.004% | 2,370 | -6.46 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 12:30–13:00 | 0.675% | 9.114% | 2,370 | -8.44 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 13:00–13:30 | 0.253% | 8.228% | 2,370 | -7.97 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 13:30–14:00 | 0.506% | 7.426% | 2,370 | -6.92 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 14:00–14:30 | 0.253% | 7.384% | 2,370 | -7.13 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 14:30–15:00 | 0.211% | 8.819% | 2,370 | -8.61 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 15:00–15:30 | 0.169% | 7.975% | 2,370 | -7.81 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 15:30–16:00 | 0.127% | 7.679% | 2,370 | -7.55 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 16:00–16:15 | 0.084% | 4.051% | 2,370 | -3.97 pts |
| Red | Breakout timing | First breakout before the threshold | 96.957% | 32.697% | 1,939 | +64.26 pts |
| Red | Breakout timing | First breakout at or after the threshold | 3.043% | 67.303% | 1,939 | -64.26 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 09:30–10:00 | 0.000% | 0.000% | 1,939 | +0.00 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 10:00–10:30 | 83.497% | 7.478% | 1,939 | +76.02 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 10:30–11:00 | 8.922% | 9.541% | 1,939 | -0.62 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 11:00–11:30 | 3.249% | 7.169% | 1,939 | -3.92 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 11:30–12:00 | 1.289% | 8.510% | 1,939 | -7.22 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 12:00–12:30 | 0.928% | 6.653% | 1,939 | -5.72 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 12:30–13:00 | 0.309% | 9.077% | 1,939 | -8.77 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 13:00–13:30 | 0.464% | 8.510% | 1,939 | -8.05 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 13:30–14:00 | 0.155% | 7.530% | 1,939 | -7.37 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 14:00–14:30 | 0.309% | 6.911% | 1,939 | -6.60 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 14:30–15:00 | 0.413% | 8.767% | 1,939 | -8.35 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 15:00–15:30 | 0.103% | 7.994% | 1,939 | -7.89 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 15:30–16:00 | 0.309% | 7.839% | 1,939 | -7.53 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 16:00–16:15 | 0.052% | 4.023% | 1,939 | -3.97 pts |
| Group | Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green | Breakout timing | First breakout before the threshold | 97.158% | 32.331% | 2,428 | +64.83 pts |
| Green | Breakout timing | First breakout at or after the threshold | 2.842% | 67.669% | 2,428 | -64.83 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 09:30–10:00 | 0.000% | 0.000% | 2,428 | +0.00 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 10:00–10:30 | 82.290% | 7.414% | 2,428 | +74.88 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 10:30–11:00 | 9.349% | 9.143% | 2,428 | +0.21 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 11:00–11:30 | 3.995% | 7.125% | 2,428 | -3.13 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 11:30–12:00 | 1.524% | 8.649% | 2,428 | -7.13 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 12:00–12:30 | 0.577% | 7.125% | 2,428 | -6.55 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 12:30–13:00 | 0.412% | 9.061% | 2,428 | -8.65 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 13:00–13:30 | 0.453% | 8.114% | 2,428 | -7.66 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 13:30–14:00 | 0.206% | 7.496% | 2,428 | -7.29 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 14:00–14:30 | 0.288% | 7.331% | 2,428 | -7.04 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 14:30–15:00 | 0.371% | 8.814% | 2,428 | -8.44 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 15:00–15:30 | 0.165% | 8.031% | 2,428 | -7.87 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 15:30–16:00 | 0.247% | 7.702% | 2,428 | -7.45 pts |
| Green | Breakout-time bucket | 16:00–16:15 | 0.124% | 3.995% | 2,428 | -3.87 pts |
| Red | Breakout timing | First breakout before the threshold | 96.970% | 32.430% | 1,881 | +64.54 pts |
| Red | Breakout timing | First breakout at or after the threshold | 3.030% | 67.570% | 1,881 | -64.54 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 09:30–10:00 | 0.000% | 0.000% | 1,881 | +0.00 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 10:00–10:30 | 83.360% | 7.390% | 1,881 | +75.97 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 10:30–11:00 | 9.091% | 9.463% | 1,881 | -0.37 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 11:00–11:30 | 3.456% | 7.071% | 1,881 | -3.62 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 11:30–12:00 | 1.063% | 8.506% | 1,881 | -7.44 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 12:00–12:30 | 0.904% | 6.433% | 1,881 | -5.53 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 12:30–13:00 | 0.638% | 9.144% | 1,881 | -8.51 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 13:00–13:30 | 0.213% | 8.400% | 1,881 | -8.19 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 13:30–14:00 | 0.532% | 7.815% | 1,881 | -7.28 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 14:00–14:30 | 0.266% | 7.071% | 1,881 | -6.80 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 14:30–15:00 | 0.213% | 8.878% | 1,881 | -8.67 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 15:00–15:30 | 0.106% | 7.868% | 1,881 | -7.76 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 15:30–16:00 | 0.159% | 7.815% | 1,881 | -7.66 pts |
| Red | Breakout-time bucket | 16:00–16:15 | 0.000% | 4.147% | 1,881 | -4.15 pts |
| Group | Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ib_size bin 1 (4.36–17.10] | Breakout timing | First breakout before the threshold | 98.057% | 32.192% | 1,081 | +65.86 pts |
| ib_size bin 1 (4.36–17.10] | Breakout timing | First breakout at or after the threshold | 1.943% | 67.808% | 1,081 | -65.86 pts |
| ib_size bin 1 (4.36–17.10] | Breakout-time bucket | 09:30–10:00 | 0.000% | 0.000% | 1,081 | +0.00 pts |
| ib_size bin 1 (4.36–17.10] | Breakout-time bucket | 10:00–10:30 | 84.921% | 6.938% | 1,081 | +77.98 pts |
| ib_size bin 1 (4.36–17.10] | Breakout-time bucket | 10:30–11:00 | 8.418% | 10.361% | 1,081 | -1.94 pts |
| ib_size bin 1 (4.36–17.10] | Breakout-time bucket | 11:00–11:30 | 3.515% | 6.846% | 1,081 | -3.33 pts |
| ib_size bin 1 (4.36–17.10] | Breakout-time bucket | 11:30–12:00 | 1.203% | 8.048% | 1,081 | -6.85 pts |
| ib_size bin 1 (4.36–17.10] | Breakout-time bucket | 12:00–12:30 | 0.555% | 5.458% | 1,081 | -4.90 pts |
| ib_size bin 1 (4.36–17.10] | Breakout-time bucket | 12:30–13:00 | 0.370% | 9.528% | 1,081 | -9.16 pts |
| ib_size bin 1 (4.36–17.10] | Breakout-time bucket | 13:00–13:30 | 0.185% | 8.511% | 1,081 | -8.33 pts |
| ib_size bin 1 (4.36–17.10] | Breakout-time bucket | 13:30–14:00 | 0.185% | 7.493% | 1,081 | -7.31 pts |
| ib_size bin 1 (4.36–17.10] | Breakout-time bucket | 14:00–14:30 | 0.185% | 7.586% | 1,081 | -7.40 pts |
| ib_size bin 1 (4.36–17.10] | Breakout-time bucket | 14:30–15:00 | 0.185% | 9.436% | 1,081 | -9.25 pts |
| ib_size bin 1 (4.36–17.10] | Breakout-time bucket | 15:00–15:30 | 0.278% | 8.048% | 1,081 | -7.77 pts |
| ib_size bin 1 (4.36–17.10] | Breakout-time bucket | 15:30–16:00 | 0.000% | 7.863% | 1,081 | -7.86 pts |
| ib_size bin 1 (4.36–17.10] | Breakout-time bucket | 16:00–16:15 | 0.000% | 3.885% | 1,081 | -3.89 pts |
| ib_size bin 2 (17.10–33.57] | Breakout timing | First breakout before the threshold | 96.269% | 32.090% | 1,072 | +64.18 pts |
| ib_size bin 2 (17.10–33.57] | Breakout timing | First breakout at or after the threshold | 3.731% | 67.910% | 1,072 | -64.18 pts |
| ib_size bin 2 (17.10–33.57] | Breakout-time bucket | 09:30–10:00 | 0.000% | 0.000% | 1,072 | +0.00 pts |
| ib_size bin 2 (17.10–33.57] | Breakout-time bucket | 10:00–10:30 | 81.157% | 6.996% | 1,072 | +74.16 pts |
| ib_size bin 2 (17.10–33.57] | Breakout-time bucket | 10:30–11:00 | 9.235% | 10.448% | 1,072 | -1.21 pts |
| ib_size bin 2 (17.10–33.57] | Breakout-time bucket | 11:00–11:30 | 4.571% | 6.810% | 1,072 | -2.24 pts |
| ib_size bin 2 (17.10–33.57] | Breakout-time bucket | 11:30–12:00 | 1.306% | 7.836% | 1,072 | -6.53 pts |
| ib_size bin 2 (17.10–33.57] | Breakout-time bucket | 12:00–12:30 | 0.933% | 5.504% | 1,072 | -4.57 pts |
| ib_size bin 2 (17.10–33.57] | Breakout-time bucket | 12:30–13:00 | 0.653% | 9.701% | 1,072 | -9.05 pts |
| ib_size bin 2 (17.10–33.57] | Breakout-time bucket | 13:00–13:30 | 0.466% | 8.675% | 1,072 | -8.21 pts |
| ib_size bin 2 (17.10–33.57] | Breakout-time bucket | 13:30–14:00 | 0.466% | 7.369% | 1,072 | -6.90 pts |
| ib_size bin 2 (17.10–33.57] | Breakout-time bucket | 14:00–14:30 | 0.373% | 7.649% | 1,072 | -7.28 pts |
| ib_size bin 2 (17.10–33.57] | Breakout-time bucket | 14:30–15:00 | 0.466% | 9.422% | 1,072 | -8.96 pts |
| ib_size bin 2 (17.10–33.57] | Breakout-time bucket | 15:00–15:30 | 0.000% | 7.929% | 1,072 | -7.93 pts |
| ib_size bin 2 (17.10–33.57] | Breakout-time bucket | 15:30–16:00 | 0.373% | 7.836% | 1,072 | -7.46 pts |
| ib_size bin 2 (17.10–33.57] | Breakout-time bucket | 16:00–16:15 | 0.000% | 3.825% | 1,072 | -3.82 pts |
| ib_size bin 3 (33.57–89.96] | Breakout timing | First breakout before the threshold | 96.843% | 32.219% | 1,077 | +64.62 pts |
| ib_size bin 3 (33.57–89.96] | Breakout timing | First breakout at or after the threshold | 3.157% | 67.781% | 1,077 | -64.62 pts |
| ib_size bin 3 (33.57–89.96] | Breakout-time bucket | 09:30–10:00 | 0.000% | 0.000% | 1,077 | +0.00 pts |
| ib_size bin 3 (33.57–89.96] | Breakout-time bucket | 10:00–10:30 | 81.616% | 6.871% | 1,077 | +74.74 pts |
| ib_size bin 3 (33.57–89.96] | Breakout-time bucket | 10:30–11:00 | 10.306% | 10.399% | 1,077 | -0.09 pts |
| ib_size bin 3 (33.57–89.96] | Breakout-time bucket | 11:00–11:30 | 3.528% | 6.871% | 1,077 | -3.34 pts |
| ib_size bin 3 (33.57–89.96] | Breakout-time bucket | 11:30–12:00 | 1.393% | 8.078% | 1,077 | -6.69 pts |
| ib_size bin 3 (33.57–89.96] | Breakout-time bucket | 12:00–12:30 | 0.650% | 5.478% | 1,077 | -4.83 pts |
| ib_size bin 3 (33.57–89.96] | Breakout-time bucket | 12:30–13:00 | 0.650% | 9.656% | 1,077 | -9.01 pts |
| ib_size bin 3 (33.57–89.96] | Breakout-time bucket | 13:00–13:30 | 0.557% | 8.542% | 1,077 | -7.99 pts |
| ib_size bin 3 (33.57–89.96] | Breakout-time bucket | 13:30–14:00 | 0.279% | 7.521% | 1,077 | -7.24 pts |
| ib_size bin 3 (33.57–89.96] | Breakout-time bucket | 14:00–14:30 | 0.279% | 7.614% | 1,077 | -7.34 pts |
| ib_size bin 3 (33.57–89.96] | Breakout-time bucket | 14:30–15:00 | 0.279% | 9.192% | 1,077 | -8.91 pts |
| ib_size bin 3 (33.57–89.96] | Breakout-time bucket | 15:00–15:30 | 0.000% | 7.985% | 1,077 | -7.99 pts |
| ib_size bin 3 (33.57–89.96] | Breakout-time bucket | 15:30–16:00 | 0.279% | 7.892% | 1,077 | -7.61 pts |
| ib_size bin 3 (33.57–89.96] | Breakout-time bucket | 16:00–16:15 | 0.186% | 3.900% | 1,077 | -3.71 pts |
| ib_size bin 4 (89.96–647.05] | Breakout timing | First breakout before the threshold | 97.130% | 32.130% | 1,080 | +65.00 pts |
| ib_size bin 4 (89.96–647.05] | Breakout timing | First breakout at or after the threshold | 2.870% | 67.870% | 1,080 | -65.00 pts |
| ib_size bin 4 (89.96–647.05] | Breakout-time bucket | 09:30–10:00 | 0.000% | 0.000% | 1,080 | +0.00 pts |
| ib_size bin 4 (89.96–647.05] | Breakout-time bucket | 10:00–10:30 | 83.333% | 6.852% | 1,080 | +76.48 pts |
| ib_size bin 4 (89.96–647.05] | Breakout-time bucket | 10:30–11:00 | 8.981% | 10.370% | 1,080 | -1.39 pts |
| ib_size bin 4 (89.96–647.05] | Breakout-time bucket | 11:00–11:30 | 3.426% | 6.852% | 1,080 | -3.43 pts |
| ib_size bin 4 (89.96–647.05] | Breakout-time bucket | 11:30–12:00 | 1.389% | 8.056% | 1,080 | -6.67 pts |
| ib_size bin 4 (89.96–647.05] | Breakout-time bucket | 12:00–12:30 | 0.741% | 5.463% | 1,080 | -4.72 pts |
| ib_size bin 4 (89.96–647.05] | Breakout-time bucket | 12:30–13:00 | 0.370% | 9.630% | 1,080 | -9.26 pts |
| ib_size bin 4 (89.96–647.05] | Breakout-time bucket | 13:00–13:30 | 0.185% | 8.611% | 1,080 | -8.43 pts |
| ib_size bin 4 (89.96–647.05] | Breakout-time bucket | 13:30–14:00 | 0.463% | 7.500% | 1,080 | -7.04 pts |
| ib_size bin 4 (89.96–647.05] | Breakout-time bucket | 14:00–14:30 | 0.278% | 7.593% | 1,080 | -7.31 pts |
| ib_size bin 4 (89.96–647.05] | Breakout-time bucket | 14:30–15:00 | 0.278% | 9.352% | 1,080 | -9.07 pts |
| ib_size bin 4 (89.96–647.05] | Breakout-time bucket | 15:00–15:30 | 0.278% | 7.963% | 1,080 | -7.69 pts |
| ib_size bin 4 (89.96–647.05] | Breakout-time bucket | 15:30–16:00 | 0.185% | 7.870% | 1,080 | -7.69 pts |
| ib_size bin 4 (89.96–647.05] | Breakout-time bucket | 16:00–16:15 | 0.093% | 3.889% | 1,080 | -3.80 pts |
| Group | Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ib_size_pct bin 1 (-0.00–0.20] | Breakout timing | First breakout before the threshold | 100.000% | 22.388% | 67 | +77.61 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 1 (-0.00–0.20] | Breakout timing | First breakout at or after the threshold | 0.000% | 77.612% | 67 | -77.61 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 1 (-0.00–0.20] | Breakout-time bucket | 09:30–10:00 | 0.000% | 0.000% | 67 | +0.00 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 1 (-0.00–0.20] | Breakout-time bucket | 10:00–10:30 | 94.030% | 4.478% | 67 | +89.55 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 1 (-0.00–0.20] | Breakout-time bucket | 10:30–11:00 | 5.970% | 8.955% | 67 | -2.99 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 1 (-0.00–0.20] | Breakout-time bucket | 11:00–11:30 | 0.000% | 7.463% | 67 | -7.46 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 1 (-0.00–0.20] | Breakout-time bucket | 11:30–12:00 | 0.000% | 1.493% | 67 | -1.49 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 1 (-0.00–0.20] | Breakout-time bucket | 12:00–12:30 | 0.000% | 7.463% | 67 | -7.46 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 1 (-0.00–0.20] | Breakout-time bucket | 12:30–13:00 | 0.000% | 13.433% | 67 | -13.43 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 1 (-0.00–0.20] | Breakout-time bucket | 13:00–13:30 | 0.000% | 10.448% | 67 | -10.45 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 1 (-0.00–0.20] | Breakout-time bucket | 13:30–14:00 | 0.000% | 1.493% | 67 | -1.49 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 1 (-0.00–0.20] | Breakout-time bucket | 14:00–14:30 | 0.000% | 10.448% | 67 | -10.45 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 1 (-0.00–0.20] | Breakout-time bucket | 14:30–15:00 | 0.000% | 14.925% | 67 | -14.93 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 1 (-0.00–0.20] | Breakout-time bucket | 15:00–15:30 | 0.000% | 7.463% | 67 | -7.46 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 1 (-0.00–0.20] | Breakout-time bucket | 15:30–16:00 | 0.000% | 7.463% | 67 | -7.46 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 1 (-0.00–0.20] | Breakout-time bucket | 16:00–16:15 | 0.000% | 4.478% | 67 | -4.48 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 2 (0.20–0.40] | Breakout timing | First breakout before the threshold | 98.091% | 31.818% | 1,100 | +66.27 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 2 (0.20–0.40] | Breakout timing | First breakout at or after the threshold | 1.909% | 68.182% | 1,100 | -66.27 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 2 (0.20–0.40] | Breakout-time bucket | 09:30–10:00 | 0.000% | 0.000% | 1,100 | +0.00 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 2 (0.20–0.40] | Breakout-time bucket | 10:00–10:30 | 84.545% | 6.909% | 1,100 | +77.64 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 2 (0.20–0.40] | Breakout-time bucket | 10:30–11:00 | 8.909% | 10.273% | 1,100 | -1.36 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 2 (0.20–0.40] | Breakout-time bucket | 11:00–11:30 | 3.455% | 6.727% | 1,100 | -3.27 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 2 (0.20–0.40] | Breakout-time bucket | 11:30–12:00 | 1.182% | 7.909% | 1,100 | -6.73 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 2 (0.20–0.40] | Breakout-time bucket | 12:00–12:30 | 0.455% | 5.545% | 1,100 | -5.09 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 2 (0.20–0.40] | Breakout-time bucket | 12:30–13:00 | 0.455% | 9.818% | 1,100 | -9.36 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 2 (0.20–0.40] | Breakout-time bucket | 13:00–13:30 | 0.091% | 8.636% | 1,100 | -8.55 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 2 (0.20–0.40] | Breakout-time bucket | 13:30–14:00 | 0.273% | 7.364% | 1,100 | -7.09 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 2 (0.20–0.40] | Breakout-time bucket | 14:00–14:30 | 0.091% | 7.545% | 1,100 | -7.45 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 2 (0.20–0.40] | Breakout-time bucket | 14:30–15:00 | 0.273% | 9.364% | 1,100 | -9.09 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 2 (0.20–0.40] | Breakout-time bucket | 15:00–15:30 | 0.091% | 8.273% | 1,100 | -8.18 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 2 (0.20–0.40] | Breakout-time bucket | 15:30–16:00 | 0.182% | 7.727% | 1,100 | -7.55 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 2 (0.20–0.40] | Breakout-time bucket | 16:00–16:15 | 0.000% | 3.909% | 1,100 | -3.91 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 3 (0.40–0.60] | Breakout timing | First breakout before the threshold | 97.166% | 31.096% | 1,341 | +66.07 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 3 (0.40–0.60] | Breakout timing | First breakout at or after the threshold | 2.834% | 68.904% | 1,341 | -66.07 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 3 (0.40–0.60] | Breakout-time bucket | 09:30–10:00 | 0.000% | 0.000% | 1,341 | +0.00 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 3 (0.40–0.60] | Breakout-time bucket | 10:00–10:30 | 83.594% | 6.861% | 1,341 | +76.73 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 3 (0.40–0.60] | Breakout-time bucket | 10:30–11:00 | 9.023% | 9.620% | 1,341 | -0.60 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 3 (0.40–0.60] | Breakout-time bucket | 11:00–11:30 | 2.983% | 6.637% | 1,341 | -3.65 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 3 (0.40–0.60] | Breakout-time bucket | 11:30–12:00 | 1.566% | 7.979% | 1,341 | -6.41 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 3 (0.40–0.60] | Breakout-time bucket | 12:00–12:30 | 0.298% | 5.891% | 1,341 | -5.59 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 3 (0.40–0.60] | Breakout-time bucket | 12:30–13:00 | 0.895% | 9.471% | 1,341 | -8.58 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 3 (0.40–0.60] | Breakout-time bucket | 13:00–13:30 | 0.373% | 8.874% | 1,341 | -8.50 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 3 (0.40–0.60] | Breakout-time bucket | 13:30–14:00 | 0.373% | 7.532% | 1,341 | -7.16 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 3 (0.40–0.60] | Breakout-time bucket | 14:00–14:30 | 0.522% | 7.606% | 1,341 | -7.08 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 3 (0.40–0.60] | Breakout-time bucket | 14:30–15:00 | 0.149% | 9.247% | 1,341 | -9.10 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 3 (0.40–0.60] | Breakout-time bucket | 15:00–15:30 | 0.075% | 8.427% | 1,341 | -8.35 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 3 (0.40–0.60] | Breakout-time bucket | 15:30–16:00 | 0.149% | 7.606% | 1,341 | -7.46 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 3 (0.40–0.60] | Breakout-time bucket | 16:00–16:15 | 0.000% | 4.251% | 1,341 | -4.25 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 4 (0.60–0.90] | Breakout timing | First breakout before the threshold | 96.471% | 32.308% | 1,105 | +64.16 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 4 (0.60–0.90] | Breakout timing | First breakout at or after the threshold | 3.529% | 67.692% | 1,105 | -64.16 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 4 (0.60–0.90] | Breakout-time bucket | 09:30–10:00 | 0.000% | 0.000% | 1,105 | +0.00 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 4 (0.60–0.90] | Breakout-time bucket | 10:00–10:30 | 81.086% | 6.968% | 1,105 | +74.12 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 4 (0.60–0.90] | Breakout-time bucket | 10:30–11:00 | 10.045% | 10.407% | 1,105 | -0.36 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 4 (0.60–0.90] | Breakout-time bucket | 11:00–11:30 | 4.163% | 6.968% | 1,105 | -2.81 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 4 (0.60–0.90] | Breakout-time bucket | 11:30–12:00 | 1.176% | 7.964% | 1,105 | -6.79 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 4 (0.60–0.90] | Breakout-time bucket | 12:00–12:30 | 1.357% | 5.520% | 1,105 | -4.16 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 4 (0.60–0.90] | Breakout-time bucket | 12:30–13:00 | 0.090% | 9.774% | 1,105 | -9.68 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 4 (0.60–0.90] | Breakout-time bucket | 13:00–13:30 | 0.543% | 8.507% | 1,105 | -7.96 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 4 (0.60–0.90] | Breakout-time bucket | 13:30–14:00 | 0.452% | 7.421% | 1,105 | -6.97 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 4 (0.60–0.90] | Breakout-time bucket | 14:00–14:30 | 0.090% | 7.421% | 1,105 | -7.33 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 4 (0.60–0.90] | Breakout-time bucket | 14:30–15:00 | 0.362% | 9.140% | 1,105 | -8.78 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 4 (0.60–0.90] | Breakout-time bucket | 15:00–15:30 | 0.181% | 8.145% | 1,105 | -7.96 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 4 (0.60–0.90] | Breakout-time bucket | 15:30–16:00 | 0.271% | 7.873% | 1,105 | -7.60 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 4 (0.60–0.90] | Breakout-time bucket | 16:00–16:15 | 0.181% | 3.891% | 1,105 | -3.71 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 5 (0.90–inf] | Breakout timing | First breakout before the threshold | 95.983% | 31.994% | 697 | +63.99 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 5 (0.90–inf] | Breakout timing | First breakout at or after the threshold | 4.017% | 68.006% | 697 | -63.99 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 5 (0.90–inf] | Breakout-time bucket | 09:30–10:00 | 0.000% | 0.000% | 697 | +0.00 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 5 (0.90–inf] | Breakout-time bucket | 10:00–10:30 | 79.914% | 6.026% | 697 | +73.89 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 5 (0.90–inf] | Breakout-time bucket | 10:30–11:00 | 9.182% | 10.043% | 697 | -0.86 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 5 (0.90–inf] | Breakout-time bucket | 11:00–11:30 | 5.452% | 7.891% | 697 | -2.44 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 5 (0.90–inf] | Breakout-time bucket | 11:30–12:00 | 1.435% | 8.034% | 697 | -6.60 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 5 (0.90–inf] | Breakout-time bucket | 12:00–12:30 | 1.004% | 6.026% | 697 | -5.02 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 5 (0.90–inf] | Breakout-time bucket | 12:30–13:00 | 0.574% | 9.182% | 697 | -8.61 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 5 (0.90–inf] | Breakout-time bucket | 13:00–13:30 | 0.430% | 8.608% | 697 | -8.18 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 5 (0.90–inf] | Breakout-time bucket | 13:30–14:00 | 0.287% | 7.461% | 697 | -7.17 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 5 (0.90–inf] | Breakout-time bucket | 14:00–14:30 | 0.430% | 7.317% | 697 | -6.89 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 5 (0.90–inf] | Breakout-time bucket | 14:30–15:00 | 0.574% | 9.326% | 697 | -8.75 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 5 (0.90–inf] | Breakout-time bucket | 15:00–15:30 | 0.287% | 8.034% | 697 | -7.75 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 5 (0.90–inf] | Breakout-time bucket | 15:30–16:00 | 0.287% | 8.178% | 697 | -7.89 pts |
| ib_size_pct bin 5 (0.90–inf] | Breakout-time bucket | 16:00–16:15 | 0.143% | 3.874% | 697 | -3.73 pts |