Instrument
Stat
Open to Close Range
How often does a session close within a given percentage range of its open?
Timeframe
How often does a session close within a given percentage range of its open?
Within range vs Outside range
Probabilities are observed frequencies over the selected period. The baseline is the same outcome's unconditional rate; edge is probability − baseline, in percentage points.
| Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open-to-close move vs range threshold | Within range | 73.938% | 0.923% | 4,332 | +73.01 pts |
| Open-to-close move vs range threshold | Outside range | 26.062% | 99.077% | 4,332 | -73.01 pts |
| Group | Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | Open-to-close move vs range threshold | Within range | 74.387% | 1.103% | 816 | +73.28 pts |
| Monday | Open-to-close move vs range threshold | Outside range | 25.613% | 98.897% | 816 | -73.28 pts |
| Tuesday | Open-to-close move vs range threshold | Within range | 76.674% | 0.893% | 896 | +75.78 pts |
| Tuesday | Open-to-close move vs range threshold | Outside range | 23.326% | 99.107% | 896 | -75.78 pts |
| Wednesday | Open-to-close move vs range threshold | Within range | 74.157% | 0.449% | 890 | +73.71 pts |
| Wednesday | Open-to-close move vs range threshold | Outside range | 25.843% | 99.551% | 890 | -73.71 pts |
| Thursday | Open-to-close move vs range threshold | Within range | 71.200% | 0.457% | 875 | +70.74 pts |
| Thursday | Open-to-close move vs range threshold | Outside range | 28.800% | 99.543% | 875 | -70.74 pts |
| Friday | Open-to-close move vs range threshold | Within range | 73.216% | 0.819% | 855 | +72.40 pts |
| Friday | Open-to-close move vs range threshold | Outside range | 26.784% | 99.181% | 855 | -72.40 pts |
| Group | Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green | Open-to-close move vs range threshold | Within range | 75.923% | 0.461% | 2,384 | +75.46 pts |
| Green | Open-to-close move vs range threshold | Outside range | 24.077% | 99.539% | 2,384 | -75.46 pts |
| Red | Open-to-close move vs range threshold | Within range | 71.509% | 0.821% | 1,948 | +70.69 pts |
| Red | Open-to-close move vs range threshold | Outside range | 28.491% | 99.179% | 1,948 | -70.69 pts |