Instrument
Stat
Opening Stats
Where does the daily session open land relative to the prior session's high and low — above the prior high, inside the prior range, or below the prior low?
Timeframe
Where does the daily session open land relative to the prior session's high and low — above the prior high, inside the prior range, or below the prior low?
| Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Session open | Above prior high | 23.436% | 33.641% | 4,331 | -10.21 pts |
| Session open | Inside prior range | 62.988% | 33.179% | 4,331 | +29.81 pts |
| Session open | Below prior low | 13.577% | 33.179% | 4,331 | -19.60 pts |
Probabilities are observed frequencies over the selected period. The baseline is the same outcome's unconditional rate; edge is probability − baseline, in percentage points.
| Group | Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | Session open | Above prior high | 23.775% | 32.966% | 816 | -9.19 pts |
| Monday | Session open | Inside prior range | 60.539% | 32.230% | 816 | +28.31 pts |
| Monday | Session open | Below prior low | 15.686% | 34.804% | 816 | -19.12 pts |
| Tuesday | Session open | Above prior high | 24.442% | 33.705% | 896 | -9.26 pts |
| Tuesday | Session open | Inside prior range | 62.723% | 31.138% | 896 | +31.58 pts |
| Tuesday | Session open | Below prior low | 12.835% | 35.156% | 896 | -22.32 pts |
| Wednesday | Session open | Above prior high | 22.921% | 33.820% | 890 | -10.90 pts |
| Wednesday | Session open | Inside prior range | 65.843% | 31.124% | 890 | +34.72 pts |
| Wednesday | Session open | Below prior low | 11.236% | 35.056% | 890 | -23.82 pts |
| Thursday | Session open | Above prior high | 22.540% | 33.753% | 874 | -11.21 pts |
| Thursday | Session open | Inside prior range | 62.471% | 31.121% | 874 | +31.35 pts |
| Thursday | Session open | Below prior low | 14.989% | 35.126% | 874 | -20.14 pts |
| Friday | Session open | Above prior high | 23.509% | 33.684% | 855 | -10.18 pts |
| Friday | Session open | Inside prior range | 63.158% | 31.579% | 855 | +31.58 pts |
| Friday | Session open | Below prior low | 13.333% | 34.737% | 855 | -21.40 pts |
| Group | Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green | Session open | Above prior high | 34.536% | 33.781% | 2,383 | +0.76 pts |
| Green | Session open | Inside prior range | 58.749% | 32.858% | 2,383 | +25.89 pts |
| Green | Session open | Below prior low | 6.714% | 33.361% | 2,383 | -26.65 pts |
| Red | Session open | Above prior high | 9.856% | 33.778% | 1,948 | -23.92 pts |
| Red | Session open | Inside prior range | 68.172% | 32.957% | 1,948 | +35.22 pts |
| Red | Session open | Below prior low | 21.971% | 33.265% | 1,948 | -11.29 pts |
| Group | Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green | Session open | Above prior high | 23.154% | 33.767% | 2,384 | -10.61 pts |
| Green | Session open | Inside prior range | 62.878% | 32.886% | 2,384 | +29.99 pts |
| Green | Session open | Below prior low | 13.968% | 33.347% | 2,384 | -19.38 pts |
| Red | Session open | Above prior high | 23.780% | 33.796% | 1,947 | -10.02 pts |
| Red | Session open | Inside prior range | 63.123% | 32.974% | 1,947 | +30.15 pts |
| Red | Session open | Below prior low | 13.097% | 33.231% | 1,947 | -20.13 pts |