Instrument
Stat
Performance by Weekday
What is the average percent return, the green/red day counts, and the average green/red move size for each weekday?
Timeframe
What is the average percent return, the green/red day counts, and the average green/red move size for each weekday?
Green day (up) vs Red day (down)
Probabilities are observed frequencies over the selected period. The baseline is the same outcome's unconditional rate; edge is probability − baseline, in percentage points.
| Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All trading days | Green day (up) | 55.899% | 49.688% | 4,331 | +6.21 pts |
| All trading days | Red day (down) | 44.101% | 50.312% | 4,331 | -6.21 pts |
| Group | Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | All trading days | Green day (up) | 60.907% | 51.103% | 816 | +9.80 pts |
| Monday | All trading days | Red day (down) | 39.093% | 48.897% | 816 | -9.80 pts |
| Tuesday | All trading days | Green day (up) | 56.362% | 51.451% | 896 | +4.91 pts |
| Tuesday | All trading days | Red day (down) | 43.638% | 48.549% | 896 | -4.91 pts |
| Wednesday | All trading days | Green day (up) | 56.404% | 51.124% | 890 | +5.28 pts |
| Wednesday | All trading days | Red day (down) | 43.596% | 48.876% | 890 | -5.28 pts |
| Thursday | All trading days | Green day (up) | 53.318% | 50.915% | 874 | +2.40 pts |
| Thursday | All trading days | Red day (down) | 46.682% | 49.085% | 874 | -2.40 pts |
| Friday | All trading days | Green day (up) | 52.749% | 50.994% | 855 | +1.75 pts |
| Friday | All trading days | Red day (down) | 47.251% | 49.006% | 855 | -1.75 pts |