Instrument
Stat
Power Hour Continuation
Given the session's direction going into the power hour (the pre-power-hour move, green or red), how often does the power hour itself close in the same direction (continuation) versus reverse?
Timeframe
Given the session's direction going into the power hour (the pre-power-hour move, green or red), how often does the power hour itself close in the same direction (continuation) versus reverse?
Green power hour (up) vs Red power hour (down)
Green power hour (up) vs Red power hour (down)
Probabilities are observed frequencies over the selected period. The baseline is the same outcome's unconditional rate; edge is probability − baseline, in percentage points.
| Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green pre-power-hour move (up) | Green power hour (up) | 52.961% | 48.719% | 2,381 | +4.24 pts |
| Green pre-power-hour move (up) | Red power hour (down) | 47.039% | 51.281% | 2,381 | -4.24 pts |
| Red pre-power-hour move (down) | Green power hour (up) | 54.864% | 50.283% | 1,943 | +4.58 pts |
| Red pre-power-hour move (down) | Red power hour (down) | 45.136% | 49.717% | 1,943 | -4.58 pts |
| Group | Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | Green pre-power-hour move (up) | Green power hour (up) | 52.321% | 52.954% | 474 | -0.63 pts |
| Monday | Green pre-power-hour move (up) | Red power hour (down) | 47.679% | 47.046% | 474 | +0.63 pts |
| Monday | Red pre-power-hour move (down) | Green power hour (up) | 61.357% | 48.083% | 339 | +13.27 pts |
| Monday | Red pre-power-hour move (down) | Red power hour (down) | 38.643% | 51.917% | 339 | -13.27 pts |
| Tuesday | Green pre-power-hour move (up) | Green power hour (up) | 50.101% | 50.303% | 495 | -0.20 pts |
| Tuesday | Green pre-power-hour move (up) | Red power hour (down) | 49.899% | 49.697% | 495 | +0.20 pts |
| Tuesday | Red pre-power-hour move (down) | Green power hour (up) | 58.500% | 52.250% | 400 | +6.25 pts |
| Tuesday | Red pre-power-hour move (down) | Red power hour (down) | 41.500% | 47.750% | 400 | -6.25 pts |
| Wednesday | Green pre-power-hour move (up) | Green power hour (up) | 52.292% | 51.875% | 480 | +0.42 pts |
| Wednesday | Green pre-power-hour move (up) | Red power hour (down) | 47.708% | 48.125% | 480 | -0.42 pts |
| Wednesday | Red pre-power-hour move (down) | Green power hour (up) | 49.020% | 50.245% | 408 | -1.23 pts |
| Wednesday | Red pre-power-hour move (down) | Red power hour (down) | 50.980% | 49.755% | 408 | +1.23 pts |
| Thursday | Green pre-power-hour move (up) | Green power hour (up) | 53.527% | 51.660% | 482 | +1.87 pts |
| Thursday | Green pre-power-hour move (up) | Red power hour (down) | 46.473% | 48.340% | 482 | -1.87 pts |
| Thursday | Red pre-power-hour move (down) | Green power hour (up) | 53.964% | 50.128% | 391 | +3.84 pts |
| Thursday | Red pre-power-hour move (down) | Red power hour (down) | 46.036% | 49.872% | 391 | -3.84 pts |
| Friday | Green pre-power-hour move (up) | Green power hour (up) | 56.889% | 48.889% | 450 | +8.00 pts |
| Friday | Green pre-power-hour move (up) | Red power hour (down) | 43.111% | 51.111% | 450 | -8.00 pts |
| Friday | Red pre-power-hour move (down) | Green power hour (up) | 52.593% | 53.086% | 405 | -0.49 pts |
| Friday | Red pre-power-hour move (down) | Red power hour (down) | 47.407% | 46.914% | 405 | +0.49 pts |
| Group | Condition | Outcome | Probability | Baseline | N | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open in upper half | Green pre-power-hour move (up) | Green power hour (up) | 53.079% | 50.306% | 2,127 | +2.77 pts |
| Open in upper half | Green pre-power-hour move (up) | Red power hour (down) | 46.921% | 49.694% | 2,127 | -2.77 pts |
| Open in upper half | Red pre-power-hour move (down) | Green power hour (up) | 55.190% | 45.063% | 395 | +10.13 pts |
| Open in upper half | Red pre-power-hour move (down) | Red power hour (down) | 44.810% | 54.937% | 395 | -10.13 pts |
| Open in lower half | Green pre-power-hour move (up) | Green power hour (up) | 51.969% | 47.244% | 254 | +4.72 pts |
| Open in lower half | Green pre-power-hour move (up) | Red power hour (down) | 48.031% | 52.756% | 254 | -4.72 pts |
| Open in lower half | Red pre-power-hour move (down) | Green power hour (up) | 54.780% | 51.163% | 1,548 | +3.62 pts |
| Open in lower half | Red pre-power-hour move (down) | Red power hour (down) | 45.220% | 48.837% | 1,548 | -3.62 pts |