Baseline-relative edges
Every probability is shown next to its unconditional baseline whenever one applies. A 56% hit rate means nothing until you know the base rate — we put both side by side.
Trade the probabilities,
not the predictions.
NQ and ES futures data from 2008 to 2026. Every edge is shown against its baseline, with the sample size in plain sight — so you know exactly how strong a setup really is.
55 stat familiesNQ and ES futures dataOpen source · MIT
Gap Fill
Gap up → Filled · NQ Daily
62.8%-1.88 pts
vs 64.6% baseline · N = 2,444
Monday54.5%-3.42 ptsN = 468
Tuesday64.8%-1.21 ptsN = 497
Wednesday66.1%-1.54 ptsN = 519
Thursday63.3%-1.46 ptsN = 480
Friday64.6%-2.29 ptsN = 480
Coverage across the instruments you actually trade
NQ · Nasdaq-100ES · S&P 500RTH & ETH sessions2008 – 20265min → monthly
Why Augur
Edges you can actually trust
No black boxes, no curve-fit signals. Just transparent conditional statistics with the context you need to judge a setup with confidence.
Sliced every way
Drill into stats by weekday, size bucket, prior-session candle, or session close color. Each slice carries its own sample size so thin buckets never mislead you.
Open source, end to end
The stats engine (Python) and this site (Next.js) are both MIT-licensed on GitHub. This demo runs on a frozen snapshot of aggregated results — no live backend, no database.
Sample size next to every edge
Every probability ships with its N — the exact number of observations behind it — right next to the edge versus baseline, so you can judge a thin slice for yourself.
How it works
From the catalog to a stat in two clicks
Open the demo
No account required — every stat is unlocked.
Browse the stat catalog
Open the dashboard and explore stat families for NQ and ES — gaps, opening drives, range extensions, weekday seasonality and more. Filter to what fits your style.
Trade with context
Read the edge against its baseline, check the sample size.
Open source, end to end
The stats engine and this site are both open source on GitHub, and this demo runs entirely on a frozen snapshot of aggregated results — no signup, no backend.